Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.263718 1.423930 1.598912 1.804578 2.040154 2.302093 2.616148
2026-01-25 1.009960 1.219374 1.466304 1.780387 2.171274 2.644338 3.264150
2026-02-01 0.817504 1.042133 1.323584 1.705066 2.213126 2.872747 3.804183
2026-02-08 0.689603 0.919525 1.222543 1.655863 2.267319 3.110887 4.382943
2026-02-15 0.597914 0.828429 1.145683 1.620910 2.326325 3.353268 4.995827
2026-02-22 0.551114 0.790996 1.134626 1.672139 2.508973 3.791166 5.961719
2026-03-01 0.503846 0.745853 1.104957 1.688688 2.637116 4.159062 6.872675
2026-03-08 0.451955 0.687157 1.047004 1.651940 2.672512 4.378943 7.566600
2026-03-15 0.407207 0.634267 0.991438 1.610603 2.691984 4.570321 8.235492
2026-03-22 0.391045 0.624727 1.003207 1.681007 2.909323 5.132057 9.679329
2026-03-29 0.372745 0.609506 1.003426 1.730479 3.094257 5.659025 11.147093
2026-04-05 0.354461 0.592294 0.998063 1.768505 3.261539 6.174296 12.681931
2026-04-12 0.333210 0.569154 0.982124 1.789324 3.407020 6.685459 14.348935
2026-04-19 0.307010 0.534909 0.943143 1.762457 3.455758 7.010167 15.676129
2026-04-26 0.277165 0.491318 0.882759 1.686792 3.394239 7.091893 16.453339
2026-05-03 0.253965 0.457925 0.838258 1.637681 3.382002 7.279788 17.531846
2026-05-10 0.234917 0.430652 0.802825 1.602947 3.396030 7.529106 18.822172
2026-05-17 0.227179 0.424373 0.807730 1.653451 3.607848 8.277656 21.617837
2026-05-24 0.216440 0.411200 0.797466 1.669754 3.742713 8.861704 24.099090
2026-05-31 0.201498 0.388329 0.765211 1.633447 3.746842 9.116076 25.680032
2026-06-07 0.187480 0.366211 0.732562 1.592617 3.734356 9.325346 27.177231
2026-06-14 0.184280 0.366193 0.746771 1.662141 4.009680 10.357799 31.561036
2026-06-21 0.179424 0.362248 0.752046 1.710993 4.238965 11.305935 35.943107